The Atmosphere, Ocean and Climate group focuses on the different components of the Atmosphere and Ocean, namely on dynamical processes of the atmosphere and ocean and their interactions, as well as climate change and variability.  Emphasis on coupled dynamics and inter-annual scales in the North Atlantic Basin and in Eastern Boundary systems is given within the group’s research. Moreover, weather driven hazards and paleoclimatology are also important lines of research. Applied research is also carried out, mainly on the following topics: ocean margin processes, renewable energy, climate services and remote sensing.  The group also largely contributes to regional and global Climate studies, and Earth-System model development, participating in various international initiatives.

Group Leaders: Ricardo Trigo and Álvaro Peliz


Scientific Highlights 2016

Swoddies in the winter of 1989/1990: Model sea surface temperature fields. Anticyclones and cyclones, are identified with red and blue lines, respectively.

Circulation on the Northwestern Iberian Margin: Swoddies
The eddies that form by destabilization of the Iberian Poleward Current (IPC) are studied in an output of a 20-year high-resolution ocean model simulation and using an automatic eddy detection algorithm. It is shown that the cyclones form mainly where topographic contours veer cyclonically in the poleward direction, while the anticyclones tend to form in places where topographic contours veer anticyclonically. It was found that there is a relation between the formation of eddies and the wind variability. A sudden decrease in southerly winds results in the development of instabilities in the IPC and formation of eddies. The shedding of the surface intensified anticyclones is accompanied by the shedding of deeper layer cyclones. In general, the deep cyclones spin down faster than the surface anticyclones; anticyclones are tracked, and conserve their maximum relative vorticity for longer periods. The vertical structure of the surface intensified anticyclones, at the moment of formation, extends to deeper than 1200m, and this vertical extent decreases with time. They can survive winter deep convection that homogenizes their core.

 

Variation in the number of ARs in the area of the British islands at the end of the XXI century according to the different CMIP5 models.

Projected changes in atmospheric rivers affecting Europe in CMIP5 models
Atmospheric Rivers (ARs) are elongated bands of high water vapour concentration extending to the mid-latitudes, which can be associated with intense precipitation and floods over continental areas. The ARs reaching Europe were analysed in simulations from six CMIP5 global climate models (CGMs) to quantify possible changes during the current century, with emphasis in five western European coastal areas for the winter season. ARs are represented reasonably well in GCMs for recent climate conditions (1980-2005). Increased vertically integrated horizontal water transport is found for 2074- 2099 (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) compared to 1980-2005, while the number of ARs is projected to double on average for the same period. These changes are robust between the different CMIP5 models suggesting an increased risk of intense precipitation and floods along the Atlantic European Coast.

 

 

Members

Alexandre Ramos

Postdoctoral Researcher

amramos@fc.ul.pt

Álvaro Peliz

Senior Researcher

ajpeliz@fc.ul.pt

Ana Aguiar

Postdoctoral Researcher

aaaguiar@fc.ul.pt

Ana Cordeiro Pires

Postdoctoral Researcher

acpires@fc.ul.pt

Ana Machado

Postdoctoral Researcher

ammachado@fc.ul.pt

Ana Russo

Postdoctoral Researcher

acrusso@fc.ul.pt

Andreia Ribeiro

PhD Student

afsribeiro@fc.ul.pt

Antónia Valente

Research Technician

mavalente@fc.ul.pt

António Pedro Viterbo

Senior Researcher

António Tomé

Senior Researcher

artome@ubi.pt

Armand Hernández

Postdoctoral Researcher

ahhernandez@fc.ul.pt

Carlos da Camara

Senior Researcher

cdcamara@fc.ul.pt

Carlos Pires

Senior Researcher

clpires@fc.ul.pt

Catarina Guerreiro

PhD Student

cgguerreiro@fc.ul.pt

Cathy Kurz Besson

Invited Researcher

cbbesson@fc.ul.pt

Célia Gouveia

FCT Researcher

cmgouveia@fc.ul.pt

Daniela Lima

PhD Student

dclima@fc.ul.pt

Diogo Martins

PhD Student

dmdmartins@fc.ul.pt

Dulce Oliveira

PhD Student

dulce.oliveira@ipma.pt

Federico Ienna

PhD Student

fienna@fc.ul.pt

Gil Lemos

PhD Student

gillemos.ms@hotmail.com

Isabel Bué

PhD Student

imbue@fc.ul.pt

Isabel Trigo

Senior Researcher

iamtrigo@fc.ul.pt

Javier Cano

PhD Student

jmcano@fc.ul.pt

Joana Freire

Postdoctoral Researcher

jcfreire@fc.ul.pt

João Catalão Fernandes

Senior Researcher

jcfernandes@fc.ul.pt

João Martins

Postdoctoral Researcher

joaopam@gmail.com

José Alves

Postdoctoral Researcher

jmralves@fc.ul.pt

Luísa Lamas

PhD Student

lalamas@fc.ul.pt

Margarida Liberato

Senior Researcher

mdliberato@fc.ul.pt

Maria João Chinita

PhD Student

mjchinita@fc.ul.pt

Maria Teresa Calado

Postdoctoral Researcher

mtcalado@fc.ul.pt

Martin Vodopivec

PhD Student

mvodopivec@fc.ul.pt

Miguel Nogueira

Postdoctoral Researcher

mdnogueira@fc.ul.pt

Nádia Rijo

PhD Student

nsrijo@fc.ul.pt

Pedro Benevides

Postdoctoral Researcher

pjbenevides@fc.ul.pt

Pedro Guerreiro

PhD Student

fc19788@alunos.fc.ul.pt

Pedro Mateus

Postdoctoral Researcher

pjmateus@fc.ul.pt

Pedro Miranda

Director

pmmiranda@fc.ul.pt

Pedro Soares

FCT Researcher

pmsoares@fc.ul.pt

Pedro Sousa

PhD Student

ppsousa@fc.ul.pt

Ricardo Tomé

Lab Assistant

rftome@fc.ul.pt

Ricardo Trigo

Senior Researcher

rmtrigo@fc.ul.pt

Riccardo Hénin

PhD Student

rhenin@fc.ul.pt

Rita Cardoso

Senior Researcher

rmcardoso@fc.ul.pt

Sandra Mogo

Senior Researcher

smogo@ubi.pt

Sandra Plecha

Postdoctoral Researcher

smplecha@fc.ul.pt

Sofia Ermida

PhD Student

snermida@fc.ul.pt

Vasco Ribeiro Conde

PhD Student

vrconde@fc.ul.pt

Virgílio Bento

Phd Student

vabento@fc.ul.pt

Collaborations

Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Greece
Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, France
Environmental Physics Laboratory (Ephyslab), University of Vigo, Spain
ETH, Switzerland
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast, Reading, UK
Geographischen Instituts der Universität Bern, Switzerland
Hadley Centre – Meteorological Office, Exeter, UK
Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Vienna University of Technology, TU Wien, Austria
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, USA
Politecnico di Milano, Italy
Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain
Universidad de Cantabria, Spain
Universidad de Extremadura, Spain
University of Cologne, Germany
University of Graz, Austria

Publications

2016

Bastos A., Janssens I.A. Gouveia C.M., Trigo, R.M., Ciais P. Chevalier F., Peñuelas J., Rodenbeck C., Piao S., Friedlingsein P., Running S. W. (2016) European CO2 sink influenced by NAO and East-Atlantic Pattern coupling. Nature Communications, 7, 10315, DOI: 10.1038/NCOMMS10315

Benali A., Ervilha A., Sá A.C.L., Fernandes P., Pinto R.M.S., Trigo, R.M., Pereira J.M.C. (2016) Deciphering the impact of uncertainty on the accuracy of large wildfire spread simulations. Science of Total Environment 569-570, 73-85  doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.06.112

Benali, Russo A., Sá A.C.L., Pinto R.M.S., Price O., Koutsias N., Pereira. J.M.C. (2016). Determining Fire Dates and Locating Ignition Points With Satellite. Remote Sensing, 8(4), 326, DOI: 10.3390/rs8040326

Campaniço H., Soares P.M.M., Hollmuller P., CardosoM. (2016) Climatic cooling potential of direct ventilation and evaporative cooling: high resolution spatiotemporal analysis for Iberia. Renewable Energy, 85, 766–776. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2015.07.038

Cardoso R.M., Soares P.M.M., Lima D.C.A. Semedo A. (2016) The impact of Climate Change on the Iberian Low-Level Wind Jet: EURO-CORDEX regional climate simulation. Tellus A, 68, 29005. http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v68.29005

Correia J., Bastos A., Brito M., Trigo, R.M. (2016) The influence of the main large-scale circulation patterns on wind power production in Portugal”. Renewable Energy, 102. 214-223,    org/10.1016/j.renene.2016.10.002

DaCamara C.C., Libonati R., Ermida S.L., Calado T.J. (2016) A User-Oriented Simplification of the (V,W) Burn-Sensitive Vegetation Index System. IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters PP(99), 1-5. doi: 10.1109/LGRS.2016.2614319

de Bruin H. A. R., Trigo I. F., Bosveld F. C. and Meirink J.F. (2016) A thermodynamically based model for actual evapotranspiration of an extensive grass field close to FAO reference, suitable for remote sensing application, J. Hydrometeor., 17, 1373-1382, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-15-0006.1

Ferreira J.A, Liberato M.L.R., Ramos A. M. (2016) On the relationship between atmospheric water vapour transport and extra-tropical cyclones development. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 94:56-54. doi:10.1016/j.pce.2016.01.001.

Gimeno L., Dominghez F., Nieto R., Trigo, R.M., Drumond A., Reason C.J.C., Tachetto A., Ramos A.M., Kumar R., Marengo J. (2016) Major mechanisms of atmospheric moisture transport and their role in extreme precipitation events. Annual Reviews of Environment and Resources, 41, 117 -141, doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-110615-085558

Göttsche F.-M., Olesen, F.-S., Trigo I. F., Bork-Unkelbach A., and Martin M. A. (2016) Long term validation of land surface temperature retrieved from MSG/SEVIRI with continuous in-situ measurements in Africa. Remote Sensing, 8, 410, doi:10.3390/rs8050410

Gouveia C.M., Bistnas I., Liberato M.L.R., Bastos A., Koutsias N., Trigo, R.M. (2016) The outstanding synergy between drought, heatwaves and fuel on the 2007 Southern Greece exceptional fire season. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 218-219, 135-145, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.11.023

Gouveia C.M., Trigo, R.M., Berguería S., Vicente-Serrano S.M. (2016) Drought impact on vegetation activity in the Mediterranean region: an assessment using remote sensing data and multi-scale drought indicators. Global and Planetary Change, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.06.011.

Gouveia C.M., Páscoa P., Russo A., Trigo, R.M. (2016) Land degradation assessment over Iberia during 1982-2012. Cuadernos de Investigacion Geografica, 42, 89-112. DOI: 10.18172/cig.2945.

Hernández A., Kutiel H., Trigo R.M., Valente M.A., Sigró J., Crooper T., Santo F.E. (2016) New Azores Archipelago daily precipitation dataset and its links with large-scale modes of climate variability, International Journal of Climatology, 36, 4439-4454, DOI: 10.1002/joc.4642

Karremann M.K., Liberato M.L.R., Ordóñez P., Pinto J.G. (2016) Characterisation of synoptic conditions and cyclones associated with top ranking potential wind loss events over Iberia. Atmosph. Sci. Lett., 17: 354–361, doi: 10.1002/asl.665

Kurz-Besson C., Lousada J. L., Gaspar M. J., Correia I., Soares P. M. M., Cardoso R. M., Russo A., Varino F., Mériaux C., Trigo R.M. and Gouveia C. M. (2016) Effects of Recent Minimum Temperature and Water Deficit Increases on Pinus pinaster Radial Growth and Wood Density in Southern Portugal (special issue “Tree responses to extreme events”). Front Plant Sci. 2016; 7: 1170. doi: 10.3389/fpls.2016.01170.

Liberato M. L. R., Ramos A. M., Gouveia C. M., Sousa P., Russo A., Trigo R.M., Santo F.E. (2016). Exceptionally extreme drought in Madeira Archipelago in 2012: Vegetation impacts and driving conditions” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.08.010

Lionello P., Trigo I.F., Gil V., Liberato M.L.R. Nissen K.M., Pinto J.G., Raible C.C., Reale M., Tanzarella A., Trigo R.M., Ulbrich S., Ulbrich U. (2016). Objective Climatology of Cyclones in the Mediterranean Region: a consensus view among methods with different system identification and tracking criteria, Tellus 68, 1-18, doi:10.3402/tellusa.v68.29391

Lorenzo M.N., Ramos, A.M, Brands, S. (2016) Present and future climate conditions for winegrowing in Spain, Regional Environmental Change, 16, 617-627. doi:10.1007/s10113-015-0883-1.

Martins D.S., Paredes P., Raziei T., Pires C.A., Cadima J., Pereira L. S. (2016) Assessing reference evapotranspiration estimation from reanalysis weather products. An application to the Iberian Peninsula, J. Climatol.  doi:10.1002/joc.4852

Martins J.P.A., Trigo I.F., Bento V.A., DaCamara C.C. (2016) A Physically Constrained Calibration Database for Land Surface Temperature Using Infrared Retrieval Algorithms. Remote Sensing 8, 808. doi: 10.3390/rs8100808

Martins J.P.A., Cardoso R.M., Soares P.M.M., Trigo I., Belo-Pereira M., Moreira N., Tomé R. (2016) The diurnal cycle of coastal cloudiness over west Iberia using Meteosat/SEVIRI and a WRF regional climate model simulation. J. Climatol 36, 1755-1772. doi: 10.1002/joc.4457.

Mateus P., Tomé R., Nico G. (2016) Three-Dimensional Variational Assimilation of InSAR PWV Using WRFDA Model. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, DOI 10.1109/TGRS.2016.2599219.

Mechri, R., Ottlé C., Pannekoucke O., Kallel A., Maignan F., Courault D., and Trigo I. F. (2016) Downscaling Meteosat land surface temperature over a heterogeneous landscape using a data assimilation approach. Remote Sensing, 8, 586; doi: 10.3390/rs8070586

Mériaux C. A., Zemach T., Kurz-Besson C. B., Ungarish M. (2016) The propagation of particulate gravity currents in a V-shaped triangular cross section channel: Lock-release experiments and shallow-water numerical simulations. Physics of Fluids 28, 036601 (2016); doi: 10.1063/1.4942241.

Moreira E., Pires C.A., Pereira L.S. (2016) SPI drought class predictions driven by the North Atlantic Oscillation index using log-linear modeling, Water 2016, 8(2), 43; doi: 10.390/w8020043

Moreno J. Fatela F., Moreno F., Leorri E., Taborda R., Trigo, R.M. (2016) Grape harvest dates as indicator of spring-summer mean maxima temperature variations in the Minho region (NW Portugal) since the 19th century. Global and Planetary Change 141, 39-53 doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.04.003

Oliveira D.S, Desprat S., Rodrigues T., Naughton F., Hodell D., Trigo R.M., Rufino M., Lopes C., Abrantes F., Seanchez-Goñi M.F. (2016) The complexity of millennial-scale variability in southwestern Europe during MIS 11. Quaternary Res, org/10.1016/j.yqres.2016.09.002

Páscoa, P., Gouveia, C.M., Russo, A., Trigo, R.M. (2016). The role of drought on wheat yield inter-annual variability in the Iberian Peninsula from 1929 to 2012. International Journal of Biometeorology, DOI 10.1007/s00484-016-1224-x.

Paulo A, Martins D S., Pereira L.S. (2016) Influence of Precipitation Changes on the SPI and Related Drought Severity. An Analysis Using Long-Term Data Series. Water Resources Management. 2016, 1-21. doi: doi:10.1007/s11269-016-1388-5

Peña-Angulo D., Trigo R.M., Cortesi N., Gonzalez-Hidalgo J.C. (2016) The influence of Weather Types on the monthly average maximum and minimum temperature in the Iberian Peninsula, Atmospheric Research, 178-179, 217-230,  doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.03.022

Pereira S., Ramos A.M., Zêzere J. M., Trigo, R. M., Vaquero J.M. (2016) Spatial impact and triggering conditions of the exceptional hydro-meteorological event of December 1909. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 16, 371-390, doi:10.5194/nhess-16-371-2016

Pinto, R.S., Benali A, Sá A.C.L., Fernandes P.M., Soares P.M.M., Cardoso R.M., Trigo R.M., daCamara C.C.,  Pereira J.M.C. (2016) Probabilistic Fire Spread Forecast as a Tool for Fire Management in an Operational Setting. Springer Plus, 5,1205. DOI:10.1186/s40064-016-2842-9.

Pires C.A., Ribeiro A. (2016) Separation of the atmospheric variability into non-Gaussian multidimensional sources by projection pursuit techniques. Climate Dynamics  DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3112-9

Ramos A., Nieto R., Tomé R., Gimeno L., Trigo R.M., Liberato M.L.R., Lavers D.A. (2016) Atmospheric rivers moisture sources from a Lagrangian perspective. Earth System Dynamics, 7, 371-384,  doi:10.5194/esd-7-371-2016

Ramos A., Trigo R.M., Liberato M.L.R. (2016) Ranking of multi-day extreme precipitation events over the Iberian Peninsula. International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.4726

Ramos, A. M.; Tomé, R.; Trigo, R.M.; Liberato, M.L.R.;  and Pinto J.G. (2016) Projected changes in atmospheric rivers affecting Europe in CMIP5 models, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 9315–9323, doi:10.1002/2016GL070634.

Ren X., Qu Z., Martins D. S., Paredes P., Pereira L. S. (2016) Daily Reference Evapotranspiration for Hyper-Arid to Moist Sub-Humid Climates in Inner Mongolia, China: I. Assessing Temperature Methods and Spatial Variability.Water Resources Management, 30, 3769-3791. doi:10.1007/s11269-016-1384-9

Ren X, Martins D. S., Qu Z., Paredes P., Pereira L. S. (2016) Daily Reference Evapotranspiration for Hyper-Arid to Moist Sub-Humid Climates in Inner Mongolia, China: II. Trends of ETo. Water Resources Management, 30, 3793-3814. doi:10.1007/s11269-016-1385-8

Ribeiro P., Vaquero J.M., Gallego M.C., Trigo R.M. (2016) The first documented Space Weather event that perturbed the communications networks in Iberia, Space Weather, DOI: 10.1002/2016SW001424

Risi C., Ogée J., Bony S., Bariac T., Raz-Yaseef N., Wingate L., Welker J., Knohl A., Besson C., Leclerc M., Zhang G., Buchmann N., Santrucek J., Hronkova M., David T., Peylin P. Guglielmo F. (2016) The Water Isotopic Version of the Land-Surface Model ORCHIDEE: Implementation, Evaluation, Sensitivity to Hydrological Parameters. Hydrol Current Res, 7, 4. doi 10.4172/2157-7587.1000258.

Ruffault J., Moron V., Trigo R.M., Curt T. (2016) Objective identification of multiple large fire climatologies: an application to a Mediterranean ecosystem, Environmental Research Letters 11, 075006,  DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/075006

Ruffault J., Moron V., Trigo R.M., Curt T. (2016) Daily synoptic conditions associated with large fire occurrence in Mediterranean France: evidence for a wind-driven fire regime. Int. J. Climatol. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4680

Russo A., Gouveia C.M., Ilan Levy, Uri Dayan, Jerez S., Mendes M.A., Trigo, R.M. (2016) Coastal recirculation potential affecting air pollutants in Portugal: The role of circulation weather types. Atmospheric Environment .135, 9-19.   doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2016.03.039

Sánchez-López G., Hernández A., Pla-Rabes S., Trigo R.M., Toro M., Granados I., Sáez A., Masqué P., Pueyo J.J., Rubio-Inglés M.J., Giralt S. (2016): Climate reconstruction for the last two millennia in central Iberia: The role of East Atlantic (EA), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and their interplay over the Iberian    Quaternary Science Reviews 149, 135-150.  DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.07.021

Semedo A., Soares P.M.M., Lima D.C.A., Cardoso R.M., Bernardino M, Miranda P.M.A. (2016) The impact of Climate Change on the Global Low-Level Wind Jets: EC-EARTH simulations. Global and Planetary Change, 137, 88-106. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.12.012

Soares, P.M.M., Cardoso R.M., Lima D.C.A., Semedo A. (2016) High resolution projections for the Western Iberian Coastal Low level jet in a changing climate. Clim. Dynamics, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3397-8.

Sousa P., Barriopedro D., Trigo R.M., Ramos A.M., Nieto R., Gimeno L., Turkman K.F., Liberato M.L.R. (2016) Impact of Euro‑Atlantic blocking patterns in Iberia precipitation using a novel high resolution dataset, Clim. Dynamics, 46, 2573-2591. DOI 10.1007/s00382-015-2718-7

Sousa P., Trigo R.M., Barriopedro D., Soares P.M.M., Ramos A.M., Liberato M.L.R. (2016) Responses of European precipitation distributions and regime to different blocking locations, Clim. Dynamics. DOI 10.1007/s00382-016-3132-5

Teles-Machado A., Peliz , McWilliams J.C., Dubert J., Le Cann B. (2016) Circulation on the Northwestern Iberian Margin: Swoddies. Progress in Oceanography, 140, 116-133. doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2015.09.011

Trigo R.M., Sousa P., Pereira M.G., Rasilla D., Gouveia C.M. (2016) Modeling wildfire activity in Iberia with different Atmospheric Circulation Weather Types, Int. J. of Climatol., 36, 2761-2778   DOI: 10.1002/joc.3749

Trigo R. M., Ramos C.F., Pereira S., Ramos A.M., Zêzere J. M., Liberato M.L.R. (2016): The deadliest storm of the 20th century striking Portugal; flood impacts and atmospheric circulation. 541, 597-610, J. Hydrology. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.10.036

Books/book chapters

Politi N., P.T. Nastos, A. Sfetsos, D. Vlachogiannis, N.R. Dalezios, N. Gounaris, R.M. Cardoso and P M.M. Soares (2016) Comparison and Validation of WRF Model Physics Parameterizations Over the Domain of Greece. Perspectives on Atmospheric Sciences, Springer Atmospheric Sciences, pp 55-61.

2015

Almeida MC, Rodrigues AC, Coelho PS, Diogo PA, Maurício R, Cardoso RM, Soares PM (2015) Thermal stratification of Portuguese reservoirs: potential impact of extreme climate scenarios, Journal of Water and Climate Change, 6 (3), 544-560. DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2015.071

Amraoui M, Pereira MG, DaCamara CC, Calado TJ (2015) Atmospheric conditions associated with extreme fire activity in the Western Mediterranean region, Science of the Total Environment, 524-525, 32-39. DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.04.032

Bao R, Hernández A, Sáez A, Giralt S, Prego R, Pueyo JJ, Moreno A, Valero-Garcés BL (2015). Climatic and lacustrine morphometric controls on diatom paleoproductivity in a tropical Andean lake. Quaternary Science Reviews, 129, 96-110. doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.09.019

Barbosa Aguiar AC, Peliz A, Neves F, Bashmachnikov I, Carton X (2015), Mediterranean outflow transports and entrainment estimates from observations and high-resolution modelling, Progress in Oceanography, 131, 33-45, DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2014.11.008

Bližňák V, Valente MA, Bethke J (2015) Homogenization of time series from Portugal and its former colonies for the period from the late 19th to the early 21st century, International Journal of Climatology, 35 (9), 2400-2418. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4151

Brugnara Y, Auchmann R, Brönnimann S, Allan RJ, Auer I, Barriendos M, Bergström H, Bhend J, Brázdil R, Compo GP, Cornes RC , Dominguez-Castro F, van Engelen AFV, Filipiak J, Holopainen J, Jourdain S, Kunz M, Luterbacher J, Maugeri M, Mercalli L, Moberg A, Mock CJ, Pichard G, Řezníčková L, van der Schrier G, Slonosky V, Ustrnul Z, Valente MA, Wypych A, Yin X (2015) A collection of sub-daily pressure and temperature observations for the early instrumental period with a focus on the “year without a summer” 1816, Climate of the Past, 11, 1027-1047. DOI: 10.5194/cpd-11-1027-2015

Campaniço H, Soares PMM, Hollmuller P, Cardoso RM (2016) Climatic cooling potential of direct ventilation and evaporative cooling: high resolution spatiotemporal analysis for Iberia, Renewable Energy, 85, 766-776. DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2015.07.038

Cram TA, Compo GP, Yin X, Allan RJ, McColl C, Vose RS, Whitaker JS, Matsui N, Ashcroft L, Auchmann R, Bessemoulin P, Brandsma T, Brohan P, Brunet M, Comeaux J, Crouthamel R, Gleason BE, Groisman PY, Hersbach H, Jones PD, Jónsson T, Jourdain S, Kelly G, Knapp KR, Kruger A, Kubota H, Lentini G, Lorrey A, Lott N, Lubker SJ, Luterbacher J, Marshall GJ, Maugeri M, Mock CJ, Mok HY, Nordli Ø, Rodwell MJ, Ross TF, Schuster D, Srnec L, Valente MA, Vizi Z, Wang XL, Westcott N, Woollen JS, Worley SJ (2015) The International Surface Pressure Databank version 2, Geoscience Data Journal, 2 (1), 31-46. DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.25

Cropper T, Hanna E, Valente MA, Jónsson T (2015) A daily Azores–Iceland North Atlantic Oscillation index back to 1850, Geoscience Data Journal, 2 (1), 12-24. DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.23

da Cruz JP, Araújo NAM, Raischel F, Lind PG (2015) A thermostatistical approach to scale-free networks, Int. J. Mod. Phys. C, 26 (6), 1550070 [12 pages].DOI: 10.1142/s0129183115500709

De Bruin HAR, Trigo IF, Bosveld FC, Meirink JF (2015, accepted) A thermodynamically based model for actual evapotranspiration of an extensive grass field close to FAO reference, suitable for remote sensing application, Journal of Hydrometeorology.

de Lima MIP, Santo FE, Ramos AM, Trigo RM (2015) Trends and correlations in annual extreme precipitation indices for mainland Portugal: 1941-2007, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 119 (1-2), 55-75. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-013-1079-6

Domínguez-Castro F, Ramos AM, García-Herrera R, Trigo RM (2015) Iberian extreme precipitation 1855/1856: an analysis from early instrumental observations and documentary sources, International Journal of Climatolology, 35 (1), 142-153. DOI: 10.1002/joc.3973

Duguay-Tetzlaff A, Bento VA, Göttsche FM, Stöckli R, Martins JPA, Trigo I, Olesen, F, Bojanowski JS, DaCamara CC, Kunz H (2015) Meteosat Land Surface Temperature Climate Data Record: Achievable Accuracy and Potential Uncertainties. Remote Sensing 7, 13139-13156. doi: 10.3390/rs71013139

Fernández-Fernández MI, Gallego MC, Domínguez-Castro F, Trigo RM, García JM, Vaquero JM (2015) The climate in Zafra from 1750 to 1840: precipitation, Climatic Change, 129 (1-2), 267-280. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1315-9

Hernández A, Trigo RM, Plas-Rables S, Valero-Garcés B, Jerez S, Rico-Herrero M, Vega JC, Jambrina-Enriquez M, Giralt S (2015, online first) Sensitivity of two Iberian lakes to North Atlantic atmospheric circulation modes, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2547-8.

Katragkou E, García-Díez M, Vautard R, Sobolowski S, Zanis P, Alexandri G, Cardoso RM, Colette A, Fernández J, Gobiet A, Goergen K, Karacostas T, Knist S, Mayer S, Soares PMM, Pytharoulis I, Tegoulias I, Tsikerdekis A, Jacob D (2015) Hindcast regional climate simulations within EURO-CORDEX: evaluation of a WRF multi-physics ensemble. Geosci. Model Dev., 8, 603-618. doi:10.5194/gmd-8-603-2015

Kirchner-Bossi N, García-Herrera R, Prieto L, Trigo RM (2015) A Long-Term perspective of Wind Power Output Variability, International Journal of Climatology, 35 (9), 2635-2646. DOI: 1002/joc.4161

Libonati R, DaCamara CC, Setzer AW, Morelli F, Melchiori AE (2015) An Algorithm for Burned Area Detection in the Brazilian Cerrado Using 4 μm MODIS Imagery. Remote Sensing 7, 15782-15803. doi:10.3390/rs71115782

Martins JPA, Cardoso R, Soares PMM, Trigo IF, Pereira MB, Moreira N, Tomé R (2015, online early view) The summer diurnal cycle of coastal cloudiness over west Iberia using Meteosat/SEVIRI and WRF regional climate model simulation, International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4457.

Masiello G, Serio C, Venafra S, Liuzzi G, Göttsche F, Trigo IF, Watts P (2015) Kalman filter physical retrieval of surface emissivity and temperature from SEVIRI infrared channels: a validation and intercomparison study, Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8 (7), 2981–2997. DOI: 10.5194/amt-8-2981-2015

Nogueira M, Barros AP (2015) Transient stochastic downscaling of quantitative precipitation estimates for hydrological applications. J. Hydrol., 529, pp. 1407-142, doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.08.041.

Prieto L, Macías D, Peliz A, Ruiz J (2015). Portuguese Man-of-War (Physalia physalis) in the Mediterranean: A permanent invasion or a casual appearance? Scientific Reports,5:11545, DOI: 10.1038/srep11545

Ramos AM, Trigo RM, Liberato MLR, Tomé R (2015) Daily precipitation extreme events in the Iberian Peninsula and its association with Atmospheric Rivers, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16 (2), 579-597. DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-14-0103.1

Ranjha R, Tjernström M, Semedo A, Svensson G, Cardoso RM (2015) Structure and Variability of the Oman Coastal Low-Level Jet. Tellus A, 67, 25285

Ribeiro AFS, Pires CAL (2015, in press) Seasonal drought predictability in Portugal using statistical–dynamical techniques, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C. DOI: 10.1016/j.pce.2015.04.003.

Russo A, Gouveia C, Trigo R, Liberato MLR, DaCamara CC (2015) The influence of circulation weather patterns at different spatial scales on drought variability in the Iberian Peninsula, Frontiers in Environmental Science 3:1. doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2015.00001

Russo A, Lind PG, Raischel F,Trigo RM, Mendes M (2015) Neural Network Forecast of daily pollution concentration using optimal meteorological data at synoptic and local scales, Atmospheric Pollution Research, 6 (3), 540-549. DOI: 10.5094/APR.2015.060

Sánchez-López G, Hernández A, Plas-Rables S, Toro M, Granados I, Sigró J, Trigo RM, Rúbio-Inglés MJ, Camarero L, Valero-Garcés B, Giralt S (2015) The effects of the NAO on the ice phenology of Spanish Alpine lakes, Climatic Change, 130 (2), 101-113. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1353-y

Santos JA, Rochinha C, Liberato MLR, Reyers M, Pinto JG (2015) Projected changes in wind energy potentials over Iberia, Renewable Energy, 75, 68-80. DOI: 1016/j.renene.2014.09.026

Schobesberger S, Franchin A, Bianchi F, Rondo L, Duplissy J, Kürten A, Ortega IK, Metzger A, Schnitzhofer R, Almeida J, Amorim A, Dommen J, Dunne EM, Ehn M, Gagné S, Ickes L, Junninen H, Hansel A, Kerminen V-M, Kirkby J, Kupc A, Laaksonen A, Lehtipalo K, Mathot S, Onnela A, Petäjä T, Riccobono F, Santos_FD, Sipilä  M, Tomé A, Tsagkogeorgas G, Viisanen Y, Wagner PE,  Wimmer D, Curtius J, Donahue NM, Baltensperger U, Kulmala M, Worsnop DR (2015)On the composition of ammonia-sulfuric-acid ion clusters during aerosol particle formation, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 15 (1), 55-78DOI: 10.5194/acp-15-55-2015

Semedo A, Vettor R, Breivik O, Sterl A, Reistad M, Soares CG, Lima D (2015) The wind sea and swell waves climate in the Nordic seas, Ocean Dynamics, 65, 2, 223-240, doi: 10.1007/s10236-014-0788-4

Soares PMM, Cardoso RM, Ferreira JJ, Miranda PMA (2015) Climate change and the Portuguese precipitation: ENSEMBLES regional climate models results. Climate Dynamics. DOI 10.1007/s00382-014-2432-x

Sousa P, Barriopedro D, Ramos AM, Nieto R, Gimeno L, Turkman KF, Liberato MLR (2015) Impact of Euro-Atlantic blocking patterns in Iberia precipitation using a novel high resolution dataset, Climate Dynamics, 1-19, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2718-7.

Sousa P, Trigo RM, Pereira M, Bedia J, Gutierrez JM (2015) Different approaches to model future burnt area in the Iberian Peninsula, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 202, 11-25. DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.11.018

Teles-Machado A, Peliz A, McWilliams JC, Cardoso RM, Soares PMM, Miranda PMA (2015) On the year-to-year changes of the Iberian Poleward Current, Journal of Geophysical Research – Oceans, 120 (7), 4980-4999. DOI: 10.1002/2015JC010758

Teles-Machado A, Peliz A, McWilliams JC, Couvelard X, Ambar I (2015, in press, online) Circulation on the Northwestern Iberian Margin: vertical structure and seasonality of the alongshore flows, Progress in Oceanography. DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2015.05.021.

Trigo RM, Sousa P, Pereira M, Rasilla D, Gouveia CM (2015, online early view) Modeling wildfire activity in Iberia with different Atmospheric Circulation Weather Types, International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.3749.

Vaquero JM, Trigo RM (2015) Redefining the limit dates for the Maunder Minimum, New Astronomy, 34, 120–122. DOI: 10.1016/j.newast.2014.06.002

Vaz N, Mateus M, Plecha S, Sousa MC, Leitão PC, Neves R, Dias JM (2015) Modelling SST and chlorophyll patterns in a coupled estuary-coastal system of Portugal: The Tagus case study, Journal of Marine Systems, 147, 123-137, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2014.05.022

Books/book chapters

Martins DS, Paulo AA, Rosa RG, Pereira LS (2015). Análise da variabilidade espacial e temporal das secas utilizando índices combinando precipitação e evapotranspiração: SC-PDSI e SCMedPDSI, in Pires CAL, Pereira LS (eds) Predictabilidade Sazonal de secas Avaliação ao nível regional e agrícola, Edições ISA Press. 978-972-8669-63-8, pp 41-56.

Martins DS, Paredes P, Cadima J, CAL Pires, Pereira LS (2015). Cálculo da evapotranspiração de referência usando dados climáticos de reanálise, in Pires CAL, Pereira LS (eds) Predictabilidade Sazonal de secas Avaliação ao nível regional e agrícola, Edições ISA Press. 978-972-8669-63-8, pp 57-75

Miranda JM, Matias L, Terrinha P, Zitellini N, Baptista MA, Chierici F, Embriaco D, Marinaro G, Monna S, Pignagnoli L (2015) Marine seismogenic-tsunamigenic prone areas: The Gulf of Cadiz, in Favali P, Beranzoli L, De Santis A (eds.) Seafloor Observatories, Springer, 105-125. ISBN 978-3-642-11374-1. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-11374-1_6

Moreira EE, Martins DS, Pereira LS (2015). Ciclicidade das secas em Portugal. Análise de Fourier aplicada ao SPI e identificação de relações com a oscilação do Atlântico Norte, in Pires CAL, Pereira LS (eds) Predictabilidade Sazonal de secas Avaliação ao nível regional e agrícola, Edições ISA Press. 978-972-8669-63-8, pp 77-91.

Moreira EE, Pires CAL, Pereira LS (2015). Previsão de transições de classes de seca SPI condicionadas pelo índice NAO usando modelação log-linear, in Pires CAL, Pereira LS (eds) Predictabilidade Sazonal de secas Avaliação ao nível regional e agrícola, Edições ISA Press. 978-972-8669-63-8, pp 157-167.

Paredes P, Ribeiro AFS, Pires CAL (2015). Modelação da produção utilizando dados climáticos produzidos por um gerador estocástico de clima. Aplicação a milho, in Pires CAL, Pereira LS (eds) Predictabilidade Sazonal de secas Avaliação ao nível regional e agrícola, Edições ISA Press. 978-972-8669-63-8, pp 193-209.

Paredes P, Ribeiro AFS, Pires CAL, Pereira LS (2015). Usabilidade de previsões sazonais de ensemble da temperatura e precipitação na modelação da rega e da produção. Aplicação a cevada e milho, in Pires CAL, Pereira LS (eds) Predictabilidade Sazonal de secas Avaliação ao nível regional e agrícola, Edições ISA Press. 978-972-8669-63-8, pp 307-332.

Paulo AA, Martins DS, Moreira EE, Raziei T, Pereira, LS (2015). Análise espacial, temporal e de tendências das secas em Portugal usando o índice SPI aplicado a dados observados, PT02 e séries longas, in Pires CAL, Pereira LS (eds) Predictabilidade Sazonal de secas Avaliação ao nível regional e agrícola, Edições ISA Press. 978-972-8669-63-8, pp 19-39.

Pires CAL, Perdigão RP, Trigo RM, Ribeiro AFS (2015). Métodos não-Gaussianos de inferência e de separação de fontes estatísticas com aplicação ao diagnóstico e predictabilidade de índices de seca in, Pires CAL, Pereira LS (eds) Predictabilidade Sazonal de secas Avaliação ao nível regional e agrícola, Edições ISA Press. 978-972-8669-63-8, pp 211-242.

Pires C.A., Pereira L. S. (eds) (2015) Predictabilidade Sazonal de Secas. Avaliação ao nível regional e agrícola. Edições ISA Press. 978-972-8669-63-8. pp (VIII+332). DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.1.1334.5362

Pires CAL (2015). Introdução à predictabilidade sazonal de secas, in Pires CAL, Pereira LS (eds) Predictabilidade Sazonal de secas Avaliação ao nível regional e agrícola, Edições ISA Press. 978-972-8669-63-8, pp 3-15.

Politi N., P.T. Nastos, A. Sfetsos, D. Vlachogiannis, N.R. Dalezios, N. Gounaris, R.M. Cardoso and P M.M. Soares (2016) Comparison and Validation of WRF Model Physics Parameterizations Over the Domain of Greece. Perspectives on Atmospheric Sciences, Springer Atmospheric Sciences, pp 55-61

Ribeiro AFS, Pires CAL (2015). Estudo da correlação entre índices de circulação atmosférica e condições de seca na Europa, in Pires CAL, Pereira LS (eds) Predictabilidade Sazonal de secas Avaliação ao nível regional e agrícola, Edições ISA Press. 978-972-8669-63-8, pp 107-121.

Ribeiro AFS, Pires CAL (2015). Predictabilidade potencial sazonal de secas na Ibéria Ocidental, in Pires CAL, Pereira LS (eds) Predictabilidade Sazonal de secas Avaliação ao nível regional e agrícola, Edições ISA Press. 978-972-8669-63-8, pp 123-139.

Ribeiro AFS, Pires CAL (2015). Hibridação de previsões sazonais de secas em Portugal, in Pires CAL, Pereira LS (eds) Predictabilidade Sazonal de secas
Avaliação ao nível regional e agrícola, Edições ISA Press. 978-972-8669-63-8, pp 171-191.

Trigo RM, Gimeno L. (2015) Weather Pattern Changes in the Tropics and Mid-latitudes, in: Climate Change: observed impacts on Planet Earth (2nd Edition), Ed. Letcher T.M., Springer, 109-119.

Vaquero J.M, Trigo R.M., (2015) The role of the sun in climate change: a brief history, in: Earth’s climate response to a changing sun, Ed. Thierry Dudok de Wit, Ilaria Ermolli, Margit Haberreiter, EDP sciences, 109-119.EAS Publications Series, DOI: 10.1051/978-2-7598-1733-7.c104